![]() Voting or vote results are not a recommendation to place a bet. The lines are static and therefore may not be indicative of the line value at the current time.Īll votes are cast at the lines shown. Voting spread lines are accurate as of no more than 54 hours before the start of the game. If you click on a link on this site which takes you to a bookmaker or casino and you subsequently open an account, Pickswise may receive a commission. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/MI/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-80) (IL). Here’s how the full NFL standings and every teams’ record would have looked if every one-score game was flipped in 2019 (teams actual record is in parenthesis). Baltimore Ravens 14-2, one-score games flipped (10-6).These teams should see some negative movement on their 2020 season win totals: LA Chargers 5-11, one-score games flipped (12-4).These teams should see some positive movement on their 2020 season win totals: If a team posts a record which is severely above or below the average in those games in one season, they’ll regress to near 50 percent the following season.īelow are the teams who had extreme results in one-score games, what their 2019 record was, and what it would have been if the scores were flipped in one-score games. Teams should win around 50% of games that are decided by seven points or fewer. The first part of the series is going to be looking at teams record in one-score games. This three-part series will look at the metrics which are, one-score games, turnover margin and fumble recovery rate, and the Pythagorean Theorem. Luckily, for us as sports bettors, several underlying metrics have historically been useful in projecting whether teams are likely to improve or decline in their previous season wins. One play here or there, a turnover, or a blown call by a ref can often decide games. Now that the NFL Draft is in the books, we can focus our attention on analyzing the 2020 NFL season win totals ahead of the schedule release, rumored to be between May 7-9.ĭue to the NFL season being so short, there’s a considerable amount of variance in the 16 game regular season.
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